June 2019
1.
Preface
Although the Islamic State (IS) was swept away (even if not
perfect), there still occur conflicts constantly in Middle East and North
Africa (MENA) region. They are the civil wars in Yemen, Libya and Sudan, the
turmoil after the collapse of the long-term dictatorship in Algeria and
conflicts between tribes, sectarian terrorists and foreign powers in Syria.
Trump administration of the United States, which once showed an attitude to
withdraw from the Middle East, ignores the Middle East peace framework and
strengthens the support for Israel. US does not conceal the intention to trigger
the war with Iran.
Trump's aggressive diplomacy has destabilized the Middle East and
the Gulf States. Taking such circumstance into consideration, Russia is trying
to increase its influence behind the Assad regime in Syria and furthermore to crack
the relationship between Turkey and the United States. Iran, which has been
driven into a corner by the United States, is in danger of accidental crash between
the Rouhani administration and opponent hardliners. China and France are seeking
to grab the hegemony.