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Monday, April 8, 2019

How Saudi Arabia can manage the murder case of Jamal Khashoggi? (2)

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2. Saudi King & Crown Prince: The game is over!



Saudi Arabia's international credibility has shattered in the assassination of Jamal Khashoggi, which has become an unprecedented scandal. Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman (MbS), who has been suspected of being directly involved in the case, was hit by a violent headwind[1]. Saudi government took the attitude to blanket the case and make the end as soon as possible.



Saudi government repeatedly explained that the incident was happened accidentally and MbS did not involve at all. Eleven officials were immediately repatriated, ignoring the Turkish authorities' request for interrogation[2]. And in November 2018, public prosecutor announced that 5 out of 11 suspects would be sentenced death penalty. Their names, however, have not been revealed.



In February 2019, Turki Aldakhil, who was a general manager of Al Arabi TV, flunky of MbS and one of the keyman of the incident, has been nominated as the ambassador to UAE[3]. Furthermore, Prince Khalid, the son of King Salman and younger brother of MbS resigned from the ambassador to the United States. The departure clearly meant to avoid investigation on him. According to the report, Prince Khalid was consulted by Mr. Khashoggi to go to Istanbul when they were in Washington. The prince confirmed Khashoggi’s schedule and reported it to Riyadh. Therefore it was sure that Prince Khalid to be concerned in the case.



And on March 1, 2019, public prosecutor declared that the investigation was over[4]. Two days later, six Supreme Court Justices were appointed under Royal Decrees[5]. The appointments of new judges might have to lead to intentional judgement. There was also a ridiculous report by foreign correspondent that Saud Al-Qahatani, who was the top MbS advisor and seemed to hold the key to the case, has never been called in testimony[6]. Not only the names of the defendants but also the witnesses, were not disclosed. Everything shows the intentions of King Salman and MbS, who are rushing to close Khashoggi’s case.




3. US Trump: Keep the card for good deals!



Mr. Khashoggi, the victim, was a journalist who contributed the Washington Post to critical articles about Saud royal family. The US media and Democratic Party asked for the truth. But President Trump praised MbS for being a wise and strong man[7] and insisted that Saudi Arabia would not betray[8]. When the brutal murder was revealed, the President was surprised to say, "It's awful!" However, regarding to MbS's involvement, he tweeted "It’s estimated innocent! Trial is a domestic issue within Saudi Arabia!”


It is said that President Trump supports MbS because of the ultra-large arms contract which was signed when MbS visited to the United States in March 2018. However, it is necessary to take into account another factor of recent movements between the two persons. MbS has a strong connection with Jared Kushner who is a Jewish husband of the daughter of the President. Kushner is trying to utilize the relationship with MbS for his Middle East peace plot. President Trump appointed Kushner as a special envoy for the Middle East peace talk, seeking mediation in favor of Israel. The President is trying to draw popularity of Evangelical Christians in US, who are the biggest wing of Trump supporters.



According to the scenario, Kushner visited Saudi Arabia in February 2019 and met with King Salman and MbS[9]. In the meeting, Kushner had to persuade King and MbS not to lead the Arab opinion to protest against President’s two decisions; To relocate the US embassy to Jerusalem and to ratify the sovereignty of Israel in Golan Heights. Compensation of the deal would be to defend MbS from international criticism related to the Khashoggi’s murder case.



The Golan Heights was occupied by Israel in Six-Day War (Third Middle East War) in 1967 and annexed to Israel in 1981. The world community did not recognize the annexation. Arab and Islamic countries picked up the annexation for uniting in anti-Israeli campaigns. Iran and Turkey were the forerunners. In the past Saudi Arabia also advocated as the leader of Muslims and made anti-Israel speech at the Arab Summit or OIC. Kushner might force King Salman not to stand up as the obvious opponent. He made use of the Khashoggi’s case for the deal with MbS.



It should be interesting that one comment was disclosed by UAE. It was a statement of the Foreign Minister saying that Arab countries should take an open attitude towards Israel to promote Palestinian peace[10]. UAE used to keep pace with Saudi Arabia on regional issues. UAE sometimes acts as the voice of Saudi Arabia, which is difficult to express real intention due to the big economic or diplomatic influence in the region. This statement is understandable taking the situation into consideration. It might guess that Kushner forced the UAE to say so.



In the Palestine peace talks, it is almost certain that Saudi Arabia, the United States and Israel are currently exchanging information closely under the table. They are in the same boat showing their own strength and weakness respectively. For Saudi Arabia, the strength is the dominance of the world oil market and the purchase power of US arms, and the weakness is the darkness of MbS.



(cont’d)



Please tell us your comments and opinions on this matter.



By Areha Kazuya







[1] Reference; ‘Telephone call between Saudi Crown Prince and Japanese PM Abe confirms impatience of Muhammad’
[2]Saudi Arabia’s public prosecutor seeks death penalty for 5 Khashoggi suspects’, 2018/11/15, Arab News
[3]  Saudi named in report on Khashoggi murder becomes UAE envoy’, 2019/2/10, The Peninsula
[4]Public prosecution concludes investigation into group accused of undermining Saudi Arabia’s stability’, 2019/3/1, Arab News
[5]Saudi King Salman appoints 6 new Supreme Court judges’, 2019/3/4, Arab News
[6]Royal adviser fired over Khashoggi murder absent from Saudi trial: Sources, 2019/3/24, The Peninsula’,
[7]Crown Prince a strong man: Trump’, 2018/10/21, Saudi Gazette
[8]Trump: I don’t think the Saudis betrayed me on Khashoggi case’, 2018/10/31, Saudi Gazette
[9] Kushner meets Saudi Arabia’s King Salman, crown prince to discuss 'increased cooperation'2019/2/27, Arab News
[10]UAE urges Arab openness to Israel’, 2019/3/28, Kuwait Times

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