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Saturday, January 30, 2021

Falling Saudi Arabian Diplomacy Part2: MbS who was a stalled fixer (1/2)

 

(Japanese Version)

(Arabic Version)

Jan, 2021

 Last year there were two important international conferences hosted by Saudi Arabia. One was the G20 Summit, where leaders of major countries met together and discussed a wide range of issues. Another one was a joint ministerial meeting between OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries) and non-OPEC oil producing countries. The alliance of OPEC and Non-OPEC is called OPEC+ (plus) which have a great impact on the global energy market.

 

The G20 Summit was hosted by King Salman, and the OPEC+ Ministerial Meeting ONOMMwas co-chaired by Saudi Petroleum Minister Abdulaziz bin Salman with Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak ( now promoted to Deputy Prime Minister). Saudi Petroleum Minister is the son of King Salman. In addition to the King and the Oil Minister, Saudi Arabia has one more important figure; Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman. Muhammad is also the king’s son. He is the younger half-brother of the oil minister. He is abbreviated as MbS.

 

MbS was the most favorite son of the King Salman. He became the crown prince in 2017 overtaking other brothers and grabbed huge power. He is regarded as the de facto ruler of Saudi Arabia. He was expected to play an important role behind the scenes at both the G20 and OPEC+ conferences. Someone supposed that he would take the leadership on the front stage in place of sickly father or indecisive half-brother.

 

But media reported very little about MbS. His figure was obscure at both conferences. And the presence of Saudi Arabia itself was proved to be extremely weak through both conferences.

 

1. G20: No one expected Saudi Arabian leadership

 


G20 Summit was held on November 21st and 22nd, 2020 in Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia[1]. Due to the worldwide spread of the corona pandemic (COVID-19), world leaders could not meet face-to-face. They have to exchange their opinions through a video conference.

 

When MbS attended the Osaka Summit in 2019, he took over the host of G20 from then Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. MbS met with newly enthroned Emperor of Japan in Tokyo[2] and returned home in triumph. Until the end of 2019, preparatory works were taken place smoothly. But the circumstance was suddenly changed at the beginning of 2020 due to COVID-19. It has been decided in March that the G20 summit in November would be held by video conference[3].

 

Video conference system has both advantages and disadvantages. It is easy to adjust the schedule of world leaders and to prevent coronavirus infection. On the other hand, video conference has several problems. When the leaders of each country line up on the TV screen, they obliged to make their speech one by one according to the instructions of the chairman, King Salman. They cannot break into a speaker. In other words, it is impossible to have a free and open discussion like a round table meeting. Video conference requires sophisticated ability of the chairman. And in video conference, bilateral talks outside the conference cannot be hold though bilateral talks are inevitable to conclude the final communiqué.

 

At the Riyadh Summit, the leaders of each country only appealed the common measures against corona virus and/or their own diplomatic and economic opinions. There was no turn for MbS who had an ambition to act as a fixer for compiling the communiqué. After all, the G20 closed without communiqué[4].

 

It was unfortunate for Saudi Arabia that the video conferencing system was adopted due to an unexpected COVID-19. However, even under such circumstances, it seemed possible to call for international cooperation and joint action against COVID-19, and to extend the assistance to poor countries suffering from debt[5]. It was clear that King Salman was lack of leadership. In addition, Crown Prince (MbS) had no chance to show his ability as a fixer. Since the murder of media reporter, Mr. Khashoggi, MbS is extremely being kept out from Western countries. It was out of the question that MbS played on the stage of international arena.

 

Nowadays, no one expected diplomatic leadership of Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia missed the golden opportunity to show the bright image of King Salman and MbS.

 

(Cont’d)

 

 

By Areha Kazuya

E-mail: Arehakazuya1@gmail.com



[1] Coronavirus crisis dominates Saudi-hosted G20 summit

2011/11/21 Kuwait Times

https://news.kuwaittimes.net/website/coronavirus-crisis-dominates-saudi-hosted-g20-summit/

[2] Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman meets with Japanese emperor in Tokyo

2019/7/2 Arab News

http://www.arabnews.com/node/1519326/saudi-arabia

[3] Saudi Arabia to convene virtual G20 summit on coronavirus

2020/3/18 Arab News

https://www.arabnews.com/node/1642871/saudi-arabia

[4] Saudi Arabia hands over G20 presidency to Italy as Riyadh summit concludes

2020/11/22 Arab News

https://www.arabnews.com/node/1766871/saudi-arabia

[5] G20 dithers on poor countries debt time-bomb amid crisis warning

2020/11/23 Kuwait Times

https://news.kuwaittimes.net/website/g20-dithers-on-poor-countries-debt-time-bomb-amid-crisis-warning/

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