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Tuesday, January 22, 2019

Red signal on the Saudi Vision 2030: Private sectors wary of the Crown Prince (3)


http://ocininitiative.maeda1.jp/0458Ocin201901MbsEnglish.pdf
Fears about MbS shared by foreign investors(cont’d)



At the Investment Initiative Conference held in Riyadh immediately after the Khashoggi incident, executives of international institute and foreign big companies who planned to participate continuing from the previous year stopped attending. If he or she participates in the conference, the image of institute or company would clearly be scratched. If absent, there would be another risk of missing business opportunity. But the former risk which would be resulted in bashing from the media and stakeholders was more serious for them. Among such circumstances it took notice that how Mr. Masayoshi Son, Chairman of SoftBank of Japan, dealt with MbS. Mr. Son stood in with MbS and has established the world's biggest investment fund, so-called SoftBank Vision Fund with the prince. He has to obey to MbS. He went to Riyadh and met MbS but did not show up on the investment conference. This was at his best.



According to the report of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) for Saudi Arabia in 2017 was $ 1.4 billion[1]. This is less than one-fifth of the previous year's $ 7.5 billion, which is record-low compared to the past five years. Foreign investors may have begun to stop the investment in Saudi Arabia.



Struggling MbS



Being confronted with unfavorable wind, arrogant and irresponsible MbS was quite impatient. In July 2018, a picture was shown in a newspaper that MbS pleasantly chatted with Prince Alwaleed who has been caught in a corruption case. It showed as if they settled their differences[2]. It was impossible to invite executives in domestic and abroad for Vision 2030 without the business network of Alwaleed. Although the government confiscated the stocks of Saudi Binladen Group (SBG), government officials had no capability to manage construction business. They faced to carry out mega projects like NEOM. Therefore the government forced to reappoint the Binladen family as the board members[3].



MbS raised the flag of populistic policies such as license for women's driving, opening a movie theater and giving cost-of-living bonus. So far MbS have caught the heart of young generation. However, the economy is unable to turn into better condition only by populism. Needless to say, cooperation with private sectors is indispensable for raising the economy. But both of domestic and foreign business executives are keeping a distance from MbS. Saudi Arabian economy in 2019 will get slump.



End



Please tell us your comments and opinions on this matter.

By Areha Kazuya







[1] UNCTAD世界レポート2018年版」参照。

[3] ‘Saudi corruption settlements will net “not significantly less” than $13 bln in 2019 – minister’ on Arab News, 2018/12/19



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